Polls Accuracy are Always Suspect 2024

 By CE Marshall 

2020 Revisited ! 

     I wrote the below blog back after the election of 2020 but it certainly bares repeating after 4 years.  Nothing has changed and the polls have only a very slippery hold on the truth.   All Americans should look at them with scrutiny.  I have also heard other comments regarding polls;  1)  Conservatives tend not to answer them.  2) People are hesitant to admit they're voting for Donald Trump to the pollster asking the questions, in other words-  "Orange Man Bad" syndrome.  3) Polls are more manipulated by the media - both sides- to keep readers engaged and coming back.  They are click- bate.  So, for example, If the media wants the Democrats to look more likely to win  (for whatever reason) they ask a larger than normal base of Democrats "Who are you voting for?" and "voila"  they have the poll results for which they were searching!   Anyway, the more things change, the more they stay the same.  I re-read this blog and nodded in agreement with myself - LOL- "Right on Chuck".  It still confounds me that there is no longer an "Undecided voter"  in poll results.  That use to be one of the main categories, but today in 2024 it doesn't exist.  I think the undecided category of voters must somehow be less profitable to our wonderful "legacy" media- depicted below as Mr. Burns.  One brief comment regarding Mr. Burns- IMHO the Simpson's creators are the geniuses of humor content in the 21st century.  Mr. Burns is such a perfect representation of corporate executives of modern America and the world.  (This goes double for Pharmaceuticals, Big Food and Media giants)  They are so loathsome and despicable to the point of being laughable.  Human seepage.  

Originally posted on November 5, 2020.  

Polls Got it Wrong-- Again

 By Chuck Marshall 

Dear Wise Readers---

Hello fellow Americans-- a few thoughts on opinion polls.

1) Why are they so wrong AGAIN ? They had Biden up by 14% last month, and up by 8% over this past weekend. Statistics is a science, so is the science now wrong ?

2) Why is there no "undecided" category anymore in most polls ? We should believe everyone has made up their mind when called by pollsters?

3) Much like a court argument, survey questions can be very easily manipulated. That's why "leading the witness" is grounds for an argument to be overturned by a judge. If I'm to believe polls I'd like to hear exactly what questions are asked., not "the President's approval rating is down" with no explanation as to how the question was worded.

4) Who are they asking ? Some of these polls seem to have been asked at a the Democratic national convention. We hear "1500 likely voters across the US", but what's the mix ? How many R's, D's and I's ?

5) Most likely, surveys are being manipulated. Remember this isn't your local newspaper bloviating, these are massive, international conglomerates that want things to go a certain way. The truth is a quaint concept that they care about only as long as it's good for their profits and power. Scrutinize, scrutinize, scrutinize and don't be gullible to their narrative.

6) What can you do about it ? Ignore the opinion polls. They are a steaming pile of bullshit. Picture Mr. Burns from the Simpsons when you hear the talking heads blabbing on about what "the American people are thinking". Blah, blah, blah.

In my humble opinion.....

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